The world’s population is increasingly city-based; 50 per cent or 3.5 billion people currently live in urban areas and by 2050 this is expected to reach 70 per cent of the population or 6.3 billion people.
Urban mobility is one of the toughest challenges that cities face; accordingly, we will see massive investment in the future. Today 64 per cent of all travel kilometers made are urban and the amount of travel within urban areas is expected to triple by 2050. Being able to get around urban areas quickly, conveniently and with little environmental impact is critical to their success.
Existing mobility systems are close to breakdown. By 2050 the average time an urban dweller spends in traffic jams will be 106 hours per year, three times more than today. Delivering urban mobility will require more and more resources. In 2050 urban mobility will:
Arthur D. Little assessed the mobility performance of 66 cities worldwide based on 11 criteria. Rated on a scale of 1-100 (with 100 representing the top performance) the average score was close to 65 (64.4 points). Which means that in average the 66 cities just achieve two thirds of the potential that could be reached today, applying best practice across all operations.
Only two cities (Hong Kong, Amsterdam) scored above 80 points, with just 15 per cent of cities scoring above 75 points.
There are clearly sufficient available solutions to meet todays’ challenges of urban mobility. Arthur D. Little identified 39 key technologies and 36 potential urban mobility business models. However, these solutions are not being applied comprehensively.
Why has the innovation potential not been unleashed? There is one key reason: The management of urban mobility operates globally in an environment which is hostile to innovation. Our urban management systems are overregulated, they do not allow market players to compete and they do not establish business models that bring demand and supply into a natural balance.
To meet the urban mobility challenge, cities need to implement one of the following three strategies dependent on their location and maturity:
Arthur D. Little has identified three long term sustainable business models for the evolving urban mobility ecosystem.
The current disparate nature of urban mobility systems means that none of the individual stakeholders can create these models alone. Arthur D. Little specializes in linking strategy, technology and innovation, and aims to use its Future Lab as the platform to enable and facilitate an open dialogue between urban mobility stakeholders.
Urban Logistics PDF, 0.5MB
Report: 2015 UITP Global Public Transport Awards PDF, 0.8 MB
Report: Strategic Directions and Ecosystems to Address China’s Urban Mobility Challenges, PDF, 4.5 MB
Report: The Future of Urban Mobility 2.0, PDF, 1.8 MB
Ranking Table: Urban Mobility Index 2.0, PDF, 440 KB
Viewpoint: Urban Mobility Index 2.0, .PDF, 2.4 MB
Strategies for mature cities, .doc 0.5MB
Interview: What is holding back change? .doc, 53KB
Ranking Urban Mobility Index 2.0, .PNG, 48 KB
Top11 City Ranking, .PNG, 90 KB
Press release (Arabic), .docx, 0.5 MB
Press release (Dutch), .docx, 0.5 MB
Press release (English), .docx, 0.5 MB
Press release (French), .docx, 0.5 MB
Press release (German), .docx, 0.5 MB
Press release (Italian), .docx, 0.5 MB
Press release (Japanese), .docx, 0.5 MB
Report: Future of urban mobility, .PDF, 3.3 MB
Definition "Urban mobility index", .PDF, 32 KB
Ranking Table, .PDF, 23 KB
Ranking by region, .PDF, 3.1 MB
Ranking global, .PDF, 3.0 MB
Public Transport International (english), .PDF, 0.6 MB
Public Transport International (french), .PDF, 0.6MB
Public Transport International (german), .PDF, 0.6MB
Public Transport International (spanish), .PDF, 0.6MB