Automotive, Strategy & Organization July 2016

The future of diesel engines

Diesel market share will stay above 50% in medium-upper car segments

The future of diesel engines

The future of diesel engines

Limits on emissions in the automotive sector are expected to become even more stringent in the future, with the US and EU leading the regulation pattern.

Diesel accounts for about 50% of yearly car registrations in the EU (though less than 1% in the US) but, unlike with gasoline, exhaust emissions controls (mainly for NOx and PM) are more complex and require implementation of relatively new technologies and higher costs. The most likely scenario is a progressive diesel marketshare decrease, though keeping a relevant positioning (between 55% and 70%) in medium-upper passenger car segments by 2030.

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